WATCH: Iowa ‘Polling Guru’ Confuses Basic Polling Terminology, Asks What ‘D’ & ‘R’ Mean

Veteran Iowa pollster Ann Selzer — whose stellar track record is currently in question after a bizarre Hawkeye State poll that found Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by three percentage points — was confused over what “D” and “R” meant in her own cross tabs.

While Selzer’s poll has long been viewed as the gold standard in Iowa, her latest presidential poll is turning heads after the bizarre result. If Selzer’s result proves accurate, Iowa would have shifted 11 points to the left in one election cycle, when Trump carried the state by eight percentage points. The poll also found Harris leading among senior voters by 19, even though the demographic supported Trump by nine in 2020 and four in 2016.

Conservative political analyst Ryan Girdusky analyzed the cross tabs of Selzer’s poll and compared them with her 2020 exit poll results, stating that the results were “straight crazy.”

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For the indies to move nothing, she’s saying Republicans are shifting further to left than independents.

— Ryan James Girdusky (@RyanGirdusky) November 3, 2024

On Sunday, Selzer joined veteran political reporter Mark Halperin to discuss the results on the latest episode of 2Way.

“Okay. Could you just go through and say what you think about those criticisms?” Halperin asked in reference to Girdusky’s post. “Well, I’m trying, this is in a format that’s a little difficult for me to see. What does this D represent and the R represent?” the veteran pollster replied, seemingly not knowing that “R” and “D” stand for “Republicans” and “Democrats.”

“So they’re saying that, and again, he says, read through the cells are cross-tabbed. So they’re saying that they know that this poll shows, and again, they say your sample is 3% more Democrats than Republican, whereas the electorate last time was 8% more Republican,” Halperin then explained. “It says that you had Indies voting Democrat plus four, whereas last time they voted for plus seven plus four. So they’re saying if you compare what you have with what happened in 20, according to the exit polls, it’s way too it’s way too big a change across all these groups in a uniform way towards pro Harris as opposed to Trump.”

“Yeah, well, this is the first time I’m seeing this, and so it’s sort of against my nature to think I understand everything that this is saying. And  I haven’t cross-checked these numbers to know how that actually pans out,” Selzer answered. “But I’m going to say that it’s it is clear that senior women are an advantage to Kamala Harris in our poll. Kamala Harris wins by more than two to one, actually maybe even more than that among senior women. Kamala Harris wins by more than two to one, actually maybe even more than that among senior women.”

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