New Poll Reveals HUGE Shift To Trump If RFK Drops Out, Endorses Him

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., running as an independent in the 2024 presidential race, is teetering on the edge of withdrawal, with signs pointing to a possible announcement in Arizona this Friday. Arizona, a hotspot for independent voters, might witness Kennedy stepping down to possibly throw his support behind former President Donald Trump, who will also be in Phoenix that day.

Kennedy’s choice of Arizona for his big reveal isn’t accidental. The move is a strategic bid to sway the state’s significant independent electorate, setting the stage for what would be a dramatic endorsement of the former President. The buzz intensified when Kennedy’s running mate, Nicole Shanahan, revealed on Tuesday that the campaign is mulling over aligning with Trump. The potential alliance would reshape the race.

“There’s two options that we’re looking at,” Shanahan said earlier this week. The first involves staying in the race and laying the groundwork for a substantial third-party challenge in 2028. The path would avoid the hefty expenses associated with securing ballot access and would allow the party to focus resources on campaigning. “Or we walk away right now and join forces with Donald Trump,” Shanahan explained.

According to pollster Rich Baris, Trump could inherit a significant portion of Kennedy’s supporters. Initial surveys suggest that 40% of Kennedy’s backers would pivot to Trump if Kennedy exits. The number could jump to over 60% with Kennedy’s endorsement, while Vice President Harris might capture about a quarter of his base, with the rest considering opting out of voting altogether.

Trump is taking an initial 40% of RFK voters when asked who they would vote for if he wasn't on the ballot.

Harris is taking about a quarter and the others consider not voting.

When endorsed by RFK, support for Trump increases to just over 6 in 10.

— Rich Baris The People's Pundit (@Peoples_Pundit) August 22, 2024

Sources close to Kennedy told ABC News on Wednesday that he’s expected to bow out of the presidential race by week’s end and endorse Trump. When pressed, Kennedy played coy, telling ABC, “I will not confirm or deny that.”

“We are not talking about any of that,” Kennedy said. Sources also indicated that the decision is still pending and subject to change. One source noted that Kennedy has aimed to expedite the process of dropping out, partly to counteract any momentum gained from the DNC.

“I think it was a coronation, it’s not democracy. Nobody voted. Who chose Kamala? It wasn’t voters.” Kennedy told ABC News about the convention. “She [Kamala] went in four weeks from being the worst liability for the Democratic Party to the second coming of Christ without giving one interview, without showing up for a debate, without a single policy that anyone thinks isn’t ridiculous. It’s not democracy.”

Comprising about one-third of Arizona’s electorate, independents have surpassed Democrats in number and even briefly outstripped Republicans as the largest voter group last year according to Axios. The diverse cohort has consistently made up more than a quarter of general election voters over the last decade. While the independent label is broad, it doesn’t guarantee uniform support for independent candidates.

Arizona’s independents span a broad spectrum of political beliefs, making them a crucial yet unpredictable factor in any election. Despite their significant presence, no independent candidate has ever won a state-level or federal office in Arizona. As both camps prepare for Friday’s events, eyes will be on Kennedy’s next move.

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