Despite having a rather huge edge in the realm of fundraising, a new poll has revealed that incumbent Democratic Party Sen. Raphael Warnock of Georgia is in a virtual tie with his GOP challenger Hershcel Walker just a few days ahead of the Georgia Senate runoff race.
Warnock is only ahead of Walker by two points, 51 percent to 49 percent, which fits in the 3.2 percentage point margin of error in the new Emerson College/The Hill poll.
Newsmax is reporting, “That result allocates the lean of the 4% of undecided voters. Warnock leads by the same 2-point margin (49%-47%) when undecided, very likely runoff voters are left out. The poll was taken amid early voting that is already underway and some of the respondents have already voted — a large majority that have voted for Warnock.”
“The early vote breaks for Warnock by about 29 points, 63% to 34%, whereas those who have yet to cast their ballot break for Walker by 8 points, 52% to 44%,” Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball went on to say.
The final vote is scheduled to take place Tuesday, Dec. 6.
And although Walker is still close in the race, there isn’t much confidence floating around that he can overcome Warnock. This is one of those times I really hope that the poll “experts” are wrong. It would be so fantastic to have additional conservatives in the Senate.
“Despite the ballot test being well within the poll’s margin of error, a Walker win would surprise the majority of voters,” Kimball explained. “About 1 in 5 Republicans expect their nominee to lose. This reflects a significant shift since the last pre-general election poll earlier this month, where voters were nearly 50-50 if Warnock or Walker would win.”
Currently, the Democrats control the Senate with 50 Republicans compared to the 48 Democrats and the two independents that caucus with them. Vice President Kamala “Word Salad” Harris is the tiebreaker in favor of the Democrats.
“The race for this seat remains important for future balance of power in the Senate. The winner will hold the seat for six years, through the next presidential election and all the way to the presidential election to follow in 2028,” Newsmax reported.
One of the factors that is squarely in Warnock’s favor is his popularity with young voters in Georgia, while the vast majority of older voters support Walker.
“Warnock’s base lies with voters under 50 — a 55% majority support him for reelection — whereas Walker holds a similar 55% majority among voters over 50,” Kimball said.