Politics
CNN’s Harry Enten Gives Democrats BRUTAL Reminder About Trump’s Polling
Harry Enten, the chief political pollster for CNN, may start to sound like a screechy broken record to Democrats who otherwise would rely on the once-centrist news outlet to carry their water in an election year.
Enten was on for the third time in as many months warning Vice President Kamala Harris about possible pitfalls with just 83 days to go before Election Day. Among them would be to underestimate the deep well of support for former President Donald Trump, and especially his populist policies, which have drawn hundreds of thousands of voters into the Republican Party over the past seven and a half years. The former president is actually performing much better in key demographics than where he stood four years ago, Enten explained.
(VOTE: Are You Supporting TRUMP Or KAMALA In November?)
“We’ve kind of been here before,” Enten told viewers on Monday, walking voters through poll results from August 2016 13th in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. “Trump was estimated [to lose] by significant margins. In those polls… Trump was underestimated by 9 points on average at this point. It wasn’t a one-off,” he added, pointing to present-day results showing Trump’s support in those states being underestimated by 5 points on average. “Kamala Harris’s advantage in the New York Times/Sierra College poll was 4 points in each of these key battleground states.”
“The bottom line is this: If you have any idea if you’re a Kamala Harris fan and you want to rip open the champagne bottle, pop that cork, do not do it. Donald Trump is very much in this race. If we have a polling shift like we’ve seen in prior years between now and Election Day, Donald Trump would actually win,” said the analyst. “I’m not saying that’s going to happen, but he’s very much in this ball game.”
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Equally bad in Enten’s estimation is the Harris campaign’s naive hope that enthusiasm around her nascent bid will translate into electoral success in November. Spokespersons have pointed to a shift in battleground state polls showing Harris running significantly ahead of where President Joe Biden stood before he dropped out. “That enthusiasm is not the same thing as going out to actually vote, and there’s a different question [in the survey] which says, how certain are you that you’re actually going to go out and vote?” In fact, he adds, the number of Harris voters who say they are “almost certain” to vote now sits at 61%, just shy of the 62% of Biden supporters who said the same back in May. In contrast, the percentage of President Trump’s supporters who say the same has risen in that time to 60% from 58%.
Harris will be hoping to maintain her dominance in the media cycle at next week’s Democratic National Convention in Chicago where she will formally become the party’s nominee. Officials are preparing for a riotous series of protestors who continue to push progressives to vote “uncommitted” in November, a signal that their anti-Israel movement hasn’t changed with the rise of Harris who they still hold responsible for President Biden’s positions.
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