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JUST IN: Republicans Win Crucial Senate Seat

Published

2 months ago

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A little under two hours after polls closed in the first batch of states in the 2024 Election, Republicans have flipped a pivotal senate seat.

Less than a half hour after polls closed in West Virginia, media outlets are calling the state’s U.S. Senate race for Republican Governor Jim Justice. The seat has been held by moderate Democrat Joe Manchin since 2010, who managed to hold onto his seat for several cycles despite the state’s sharp trend to the right. In 2016, West Virginia was the most pro-Trump state in the nation.

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Manchin had voted with Republicans on a number of key issues, including the Supreme Court nomination of Justice Bret Kavanaugh. His support for President Biden’s massive infrastructure packages have causes his support to slip, however, prompting the longtime Senator to announce that he will be retiring at the end of the year rather than face a tough re-election battle.

After toying with the idea of a third-party bid under the No Labels ticket, Manchin opted not to run, though the long-serving Democrat lawmaker withheld his endorsement from Vice President Kamala Harris.

While the seat was widely viewed as a near lock for the Republican Party, the pick-up will play a key role in the balance of power in the U.S. Senate. Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) is also widely expected to lose re-election to Republican challenger Tim Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL and business owner who secured the Republican nomination without any opposition. If Sheehy does indeed win when polls close in Montana later tonight, Republicans will need to secure another seat in order to secure a majority in the chamber.

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Democrats are in a tough position in terms of controlling the Senate, as the party is defending several seats. In Michigan, U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers, a Republican, is polling neck-and-neck with Democrat challenger Elissa Slotkin, a congresswoman and former CIA analyst. Slotkin made headlines earlier this fall when leaked footage of a donor meeting showed that Harris was trailing in the senate campaign’s internal polling.

A recent poll found Republican congressional candidate Tom Barrett leading his Democrat opponent Curtis Hertel in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District, which is currently held by Slotkin.

Democrat incumbents Bob Casey (D-PA) and Sherrod Brown (D-OH), both of whom have had the advantage of running in great years for Democrats, will also be fighting to hold onto their seats. Republican challenger Bernie Moreno experienced a massive polling surge in the final week of the campaign in Ohio, while hedge fund manager Dave McCormick is polling within the margin of error against Casey.

Casey has been attempting to run from Democratic Party positions on immigration and gender ideology as a result of the razor close race.

Democrats will also be defending in Wisconsin and Arizona, where Indepdnent Senator Krysten Sinema announced her retirement last year. Sinema was elected as a Democrat but switched her party affiliation midway through her team. If Republican nominee Kari Lake can emerge victorious in Arizona — which is looking like a long shot according to polling averages — the seat will widely be viewed as a pick-up for Republicans.

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