Politics
NEW: GOP Registrations Surge In Pivotal Swing State
Republicans have continued to eliminate the Democratic Party’s voter registration lead in Pennsylvania with one of the most successful weeks since President Donald Trump’s election back in November.
Between June 23 – 30, Republicans posted a net gain of 13,816 new registered voters in the Keystone State. The latest figure has trimmed the Democrat lead in Pennsylvania down to just 74,606 registered voters, placing a pre-midterms flip well within the realm of possibility.
To put those numbers in perspective, Pennsylvania Democrats held a lead of more than one-million registered voters in 2012.
In the previous week, Republicans managed to post a net gain of a little over 5,000 voters, a healthy figure for June in an off-election year. The recent figures wiped out Democratic Party gains in the month of May, with much of the newly-registered Republicans coming from the Philadelphia area.
“Republicans are on track to FLIP Pennsylvania’s active voter registration by the end of THIS year, let alone the midterms,” said Red Eagle Politics, a popular elections analyst.
**PA WEEKLY VOTER REG UPDATE**
6/23-6/30
Net+13,186
Overall Lead+74,606
Gains Since Dec 24Following the 5k gain last week, a smaller gain was expected for this week. BUT THE GOP GAINED OVER 13K! WOW
https://t.co/7Hbi4Nog8H pic.twitter.com/E2sJ3vqO7m
— Five Star (@Five_Starrr) June 30, 2025
The Democratic Party’s lead decreased by roughly 100,000 registered voters by 2016, followed by another reduction of around 200,000 by 2020. Republicans have since made astonishing gains from 2020 onward while Democrats have hemorrhaged support over the same time period.
As of November 2020, there were 4,288,888 registered Democrats in the pivotal swing state, according to voter registration data from the Pennsylvania Department of State. By November of last year, that number had decreased to 3,941, 347, and has since declined to 3,811,498 as of June 30.
While Republicans continue to gain ground, Democrats have also seen a large number of voters leave the party in favor of unaffiliated or independent registration. In 2023, 19,321 voters from the state switched from Democrat to “other,” while a whopping 36,341 went from the Democratic Party over to the GOP side of the aisle.
Over the course of the full year, 55,662 Democrats abandoned the party. The trend only accelerated in 2024, when 51,937 Democrats changed their affiliation to “other.” An additional 61,126 voters became Republicans, amounting to a total of 113,063 voters leaving the Democratic Party.
Pennsylvania will be home to a number of important elections in 2026, including the state’s gubernatorial race, where an eventual Republican challenger will have a tall order in unseating Democrat incumbent Josh Shapiro. The governor’s approval rating has remained high, though continuing voter registration trends could make the race competitive.
Some of the most closely-watched U.S. House races, which could determine the balance of power in the chamber, will also be taking place in Pennsylvania. The state’s 1st, 7th, 8th, and 10th Congressional Districts are expected to be especially competitive.
