NEW: Kari Lake Gets Encouraging News With Days Till Election

AtlasIntel — the top-rated pollster from the 2020 campaign cycle — found Republican Senate candidate Kari Lake leading Democrat challenger Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) narrowly in the race’s home stretch.

The Brazil-based pollster found Lake and Gallego tied in their October 29 survey, though in their most recent data from October 30-31, Lake took a small lead over her Democrat challenger with 48.6 percent of the vote compared to 47.9 percent for Gallego.

AtlasIntel measured third-party support at 1.4 percent, while an additional 1.5 percent of voters remain undecided.

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Lake — who was narrowly defeated by then-Secretary of State Katie Hobbs in the Arizona gubernatorial race in 2022 — is still facing an uphill battle.

Gallego has maintained a comfortable lead in the RealClearPolitics polling average for the vast majority of the campaign cycle. A Rasmussen Reports survey conducted from October 25 through October 29 measured Gallego’s lead at four percentage points, while a CNN poll conducted from October 21-26 found the Democrat ahead by 8.

An October 26-28 survey from Data Orbital measured a much closer race, however, as Lake and Gallego were practically tied.

All in all, Gallego’s lead in the RealClearPolitics polling average stands at 3.9 percentage points as of October 31.

AtlasIntel also found positive results for former President Trump in Arizona, keeping in line with his massive lead in the October 29 poll. In the October 30-31 survey, Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 4.2 percentage points, his largest lead in all seven battleground states covered in the poll.

The poll also found Trump slightly winning independents in the state with minimum defections from Republican voters, which are all but completely offset by Democratic Party voters opting not to vote for Harris.

Among voters between the ages of 18 and 29, Trump has vastly improved on his 2020 totals, as 40.3 percent of respondents expressed support for the Republican nominee. The former president is also slightly outperforming among women, garnering 50.9 percent of the vote compared with 47.2 percent for Kamala Harris.

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