Blue State Could Be Turning Purple As GOP Voter Registrations Continue To Soar

The Republican Party continues to narrow the Democratic Party’s voter registration lead in New Jersey, the site of an off-year gubernatorial election that is expected to gain significant national attention in 2025.

According to newly released voter registration data from the month of November, which was shared on X by conservative election activist Scott Pressler, Republicans picked up 6,239 new voters while Democrats gained just 2,261 new registrations.

“A month ago, democrats had an advantage of 906,299 voter registrations. Today, that lead has been narrowed to 902,321,” Pressler wrote before listing the totals. “You have the opportunity to flip the NJ governorship from [blue to red] on November 4th, 2025.”

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New Jersey News

A month ago, democrats had an advantage of 906,299 voter registrations.

Today, that lead has been narrowed to 902,321.

🔵 gained 2,261 voters, while 🔴 gained 6,239.

You have the opportunity to flip the NJ governorship from 🔵🔜🔴 on November 4th, 2025.

— ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) December 3, 2024

The latest figures follow months of positive voter registration trends for the Republican Party in the Garden State.

In 2020, Democrats accounted for 38 percent of registered voters in New Jersey while Republicans comprised 22 percent of the electorate. Ahead of the 2024 Election between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, the Republican share of the electorate had climbed to 24 percent, cutting into the share of both Democrat and unaffiliated voters in the state.

New Jersey ultimately shocked election analysts last month when the state experienced one of the widest rightward shifts in the country. Harris defeated Trump by just under six percentage points in the state, securing 51.8 percent of the vote to Trump’s 45.9 percent. 

For comparison, President Biden carried New Jersey with 57.3 percent of the vote in 2020, while just 41.4 percent voted for Trump.

Incumbent Governor Phil Murphy debates Republican challenger Jack Ciattarelli in2021

The 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial race is expected to gain significant amounts of national attention, as it is one of only two gubernatorial races in the off-year election. Virginia is the only other gubernatorial seat up for grabs in 2025.

While New Jersey has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988, the GOP has managed to win statewide elections and made others much closer than anticipated. Republican Chris Christie served two terms as New Jersey governor after winning election in 2010, and was once viewed as a top presidential contender throughout his first term. Christie left office with record low approval ratings, however.

New Jersey Republicans also shocked political pundits and pollsters in 2021, when incumbent Democrat Governor Phil Murphy barely managed to win re-election. Republican challenger Jack Ciattarelli ultimately lost by less than three percentage points in a race that was projected as D+10, according to polling averages at the time.

Murphy will be termed out in 2025, leaving the pivotal position wide open. Ciatterelli is widely expected to run again on the Republican side, while conservative radio host Bill Spadea is also expected to garner significant support. New Jersey State Senator John Bramnick, who did not support Trump in the presidential race, is also running.

Among Democrats, North Jersey Congressman has already raised more than $20 million for his campaign, while Sean Spiller, the president of the New Jersey Education Association, has also raised millions of dollars. Neither candidate is viewed as a frontrunner, however, as U.S. Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ) is currently viewed as the favorite in New Jersey political circles, according to a report from Rowan University political analyst Ben Dworkin.

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