NYT Panics, Warns Dems Of Catastrophic Shift In Electoral College Makeup

Democrats have even more to be worried about concerning their future prospects, as the Electoral College is currently on track to tilt even more against them after the 2030 Census.

Texas, Florida, and other red states are expected to gain millions of new residents by the next census, while liberal strongholds such as New York and Illinois are tracking for a major decline. If a mid-decade census were to take place this year, GOP-controlled states would ultimately pick up five additional seats in Congress.

This would, in turn, provide red states with five additional electoral votes, while reliably blue states would lose five votes. That shift alone, according to the New York Times, could have devastating consequences for the Democratic Party’s hopes for winning the White House.

During the 2024 presidential election, Democrats had a total of 25 different potential paths to take a majority of electoral votes, the report said. However, by 2032, under current projections, they would have only five. Not even the once stalwart Democratic “blue wall” of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, plus swing states like Nevada or New Hampshire, will be enough to secure them a presidential victory.

Aside from structural issues, Democrats are experiencing political woes as well, the report says. The party has still not recovered from its losses during the 2024 election season. Fundraising has dropped significantly, along with voter registration. Leadership is confused and lacks a cohesive vision.

The New York Times suggests that one of the few paths forward to help rehabilitate the Democratic Party is by investing heavily in the South. Demographic shifts in states like Georgia and Texas offer small opportunities to the left. This is mostly due to population growth in urban areas being largely driven by minorities.

Both Alabama and Louisiana have added majority-black congressional districts. However, if Democrats want to take advantage of these areas and turn states into true battlegrounds, they need to be in it for the long haul.

According to the NYT, unless Democrats are willing to invest time, money, and effort into states they traditionally considered unwinnable, they will be left with an Electoral College system slipping out of their control.