Top Pollster Reveals Frontrunners In Key GOP Primaries

Quantus Insights — one of the most accurate pollsters from the 2024 presidential election — has released a new survey that comprehensively breaks down the state of a number of tightly-contested Republican primary races in Georgia, including the state’s U.S. Senate and gubernatorial contests.

The survey, which was conducted from April 28 through May 2 among 1,677 likely voters, carries a margin of error of ±2.7 percent. In addition to polling the Senate and gubernatorial races, the poll also measured the race for lieutenant governor and included questions on voter ideology and former President Donald Trump’s job approva.

In the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, U.S. Rep. Mike Collins led with 32.6 percent. Collins, who has represented Georgia’s 10th congressional district since 2023 and previously built a trucking business, holds a 10.1-point advantage over former University of Tennessee head football coach Derek Dooley at 22.5 percent.

U.S. Rep. Buddy Carter, a pharmacist and former small-business owner who has served Georgia’s 1st congressional district since 2015, received 13.7 percent. Undecided voters accounted for an additional 28.6 percent of respondents.

Mike Collins is touring God's country this week on the Big Rig Road Show, and he kicked it off in North Georgia with Congressman @Clay4MainStreet.

This grassroots movement can’t be stopped! pic.twitter.com/fpJiocqwxL

— Mike Collins War Room (@TeamOverhaulGA) May 4, 2026

The governor’s race showed Rick Jackson in first place at 27.3 percent. Jackson, a healthcare executive who entered the contest as a late candidate emphasizing business experience and tax cuts, led incumbent Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones by 5.2 points. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger followed at 14.4 percent, while Attorney General Chris Carr received 8 percent. Undecided voters made up an additional 13.7 percent.

The poll noted that Jones and Raffensperger have gained support in recent weeks, which has tightened the race behind Jackson.

State Senator Greg Dolezal led the state’s lieutenant governor race — which polled as the most fluid contest — with 19.2 percent of the vote. Dolezal, who has represented Georgia’s 27th Senate District since 2019 and works as a technology company partner, held a narrow 4-point edge over former State Senate President Pro Tempore John F. Kennedy at 15.2 percent.

State Senator Blake Tillery placed third at 14 percent, while undecided respondents comprised the largest share at 38.2 percent.

The poll also profiled the Georgia Republican electorate. Respondents identified as Trump/MAGA Republicans (33.9 percent), “more America First than Trump/MAGA” (22.4 percent), “vote the person, not the party” (15.6 percent), and traditional or establishment Republicans (11.7 percent).

Trump’s job approval stood at 80.3 percent approve, 19.2 percent disapprove, and 0.5 percent unsure or with no opinion. These figures indicate a heavily Trump-aligned base that nonetheless shows some ideological diversity, with candidate-specific factors such as regional ties and factional trust continuing to influence preferences.

Across all three races, undecided voters represent a substantial bloc — particularly in the Senate and lieutenant governor contests — suggesting potential for movement in the final two weeks before the primary. None of the leading candidates currently exceeds 33 percent, and Georgia’s primary rules require a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of the vote to avoid a runoff between the top two finishers.

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