‘TROUBLING SIGN’: CNN’s Data Expert Gives Biden Campaign A Stunning Reality Check

Data experts at CNN are continuing to dig into the cross tabs of recent polling sizing up a Trump-Biden rematch, and the revelations are showing the incumbent’s complete inability to hold together key voting blocs.

Harry Enten broke down a huge swing in Black voters away from President Joe Biden in the latest poll by the New York Times/Sienna. The political world was thrown upside down by the results which showed former President Donald Trump leading his Democratic rival by significant margins in nearly every swing state. Some of those results are the byproduct of historic numbers of Black voters backing Trump, Enten explained.

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“22% for Donald Trump [among Black voters]. Where was Donald Trump at this point four years ago? He was just at 9% of the vote, so he’s seen more than a doubling in support among African-Americans,” he said, adding that Biden’s lead has shrunk to +37 from +72 four years ago.

“My goodness, gracious! If this held through the general election… this would by far be the best performance for a Republican candidate in a generation, two generations, probably since 1960 and Richard Nixon against John F. Kennedy.

“It’s quite a troubling sign for the Biden campaign,” he adds.

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The shift marks President Trump’s greatest lead to date among Black voters and is slightly above previous results showing him garnering support from one in five Black voters, with the most significant gains made among Black men. The sentiment has been echoed through the media’s interviews with voters as well as in statements by pop culture figures from Black hip-hop stars to athletes. Supporting Trump, they say, is no longer the cultural taboo it once was.

Ironically, it may have been the Democrats’ rush to prosecute Trump that left Black voters commiserating with the Republican about a justice system they believe is unfair. In an MSNBC interview with several Black voters, one described the feeling among friends who left the Democratic Party after they saw what prosecutors were doing to Trump.

Lisa Babbage, who is Black, said she has spoken with many former Democrats who now side with Trump. “They have changed their political persuasion to independent, and they are looking forward to voting for Trump,” she told Alexander, “because now they find something in common with a political candidate at that level.”

Asked to expand on her remarks on commonality, Babbage said her friends “have felt persecuted by the system of American injustice, and it’s not a stretch for them to think that Trump may be a victim as well. People see that there’s some kind of commonality between himself and maybe all the Black men that have been incarcerated and the families that have been impacted.”

When mainstream media hosts have attempted to bait Republicans into admitting that Black voters can relate to Trump because they “get indicted all the time too,” Black conservatives like Congressman Byron Donalds (R-FL) have stood firm and called out the gotcha journalism.

“These things are causes of major concern for Black voters like it is for every voter in our country. But then when you layer on the fact that yes, this is political persecution from the Department of Justice and from radical DAs throughout our country, this is something similar that Black people have to deal with in the justice system themselves,” Donalds told NBC’s Kristen Welker earlier this year.

“Their look of it is real simple: well dang, if the government’s going after him with foolishness, he can’t be that bad.”

Challenged to rebut comments by Biden campaign chair Cedric Richmond denouncing one of Trump’s statements as racist, Rep. Donalds flipped the race card on him.

“What I would say is that Cedric is trying to play politics and use racial politics even now as we get into the general election… The number one reason why minority voters want to support Donald Trump is because he did the job of president, he did a great job as president, our country was secure, the economy was great,” he continued. “Black Americans… don’t want to see a politicized Justice Department. They don’t want to see a two-tiered system of justice.”

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