Politics
NEW: Trump Campaign Eyeing Unexpected Wins In Virginia, New Mexico, And New Hampshire
In a surprising last-minute play, former President Donald Trump’s campaign is aiming to secure unexpected wins in the traditionally Democratic-leaning states of Virginia, New Mexico, and New Hampshire. Political strategist Karl Rove weighed in on this ambitious strategy during an interview with Fox News anchor Neil Cavuto.
Rove, renowned for his electoral insights, explained that the Trump campaign’s final stops hint at more than just optimism; they suggest specific voter trends that might favor Trump in these key areas. “They must be looking at some data that suggests to them that they’ve got a chance to sneak these states and perhaps some others,” Rove said.
Turning his attention to more competitive battlegrounds, Rove said, “I’m going to start looking at the two earliest states, battleground states, to come in — Georgia and North Carolina.” These areas offer a mix of small, predominantly Black counties, metropolitan regions, and suburban areas that may lean Republican. Observing turnout and margins in these locales could reveal early signals of Trump’s performance in similar areas across the nation.
When Cavuto asked about Trump’s recent trip to Virginia, a state where Democrats have held an edge, Rove acknowledged the skepticism but suggested a calculated strategy. “Each presidential campaign has their own polling…they saw something in three states that was not seen generally,” he said. “The president, former president, went to Salem, Virginia, Albuquerque, New Mexico, and his running mate went to New Hampshire… I doubt it’s a head fake.”
“There’s only one reason you go to a state in the final days of the campaign, and that is to reach voters who are going to make a difference in bringing the electoral votes of that state to your column,” Rove said.
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With voters heading to the polls, all eyes are on whether Trump’s unconventional focus on Virginia, New Mexico, and New Hampshire will pay off.
Rove noted the razor-thin margins in battleground states, with many races falling within the margin of error. This means that minor swings could tilt results in unexpected directions, potentially in Trump’s favor. He said his own calculations, based on data from RealClearPolitics, 538, and Silver Bulletin, reveal a tight race with scenarios ranging from a slim Trump lead to a narrow advantage for Harris.
Trump’s potential to win Virginia, New Mexico, and New Hampshire is ambitious, considering these states have leaned Democratic in recent elections. Whether this final push will sway voters remains to be seen, but Trump’s campaign is clearly betting big on the states as the clock winds down on Election Day.
Virginia, typically blue due to Northern Virginia’s suburban areas, would indicate surprising Republican gains among suburban voters. A win in New Mexico would highlight increased support from rural and Hispanic communities, suggesting a broader GOP appeal in demographics that have leaned Democratic. New Hampshire, a small but pivotal battleground, would show that Trump’s campaign resonated with independent voters who play a crucial role in the state.
If Trump were to win all three states, it would disrupt the expected electoral map, opening doors for Republicans in states that seemed firmly in the Democratic column.
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