A new poll conducted by Emerson College revealed some shocking results about the 2024 Republican nominee as well as Biden’s approval rating.
The most recent national survey by Emerson College Polling indicates that President Biden’s job approval remains steady at 44%, while his disapproval has risen from 48% to 50%. Despite this, his approval among Democratic voters remains consistent at 77% in January and 78% in February. The survey also shows an increase in the percentage of Democratic voters who believe Biden should be the party’s nominee for the 2024 election, rising from 58% to 71% since the previous Emerson poll in January. Only 29% of Democratic voters believe someone else should be the nominee.
“Biden’s support is highest among Democratic voters under 35: 85% of whom think he should be the nominee. This sentiment decreases to 72% of those between 35 and 49, 61% of those between 50 and 64, and increases to 67% of those over 65,” said Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling.
According to two separate Emerson polls, Donald Trump remains the favored candidate in the 2024 Republican Primary with a consistent 55% of the vote. However, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has experienced a decline in support, dropping from 29% to 25% in the past month. Former Vice President Mike Pence currently holds 8% of the vote, while former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley has 5%. Both Pence and Haley have seen an increase in support, each gaining two percentage points since the previous month.
Emerson College polling noted:
Kimball noted, “Trump’s base consists of voters whose highest degree of education is high school or less, among whom 72% support, decreasing to 45% among those with a college degree, and 42% of those with a postgraduate degree, among which he trails DeSantis by two points.”
Kimball continued, “The Florida Governor’s strength is not only seen among this higher educated GOP block, but also among voters over 65, where he leads Trump 43% to 39%. He has gained 13 points among Midwestern voters, now only trailing Trump by eight points, compared to 32 points in January, presenting a potential issue for Trump as the Republicans look to Iowa as first in the nation.”
On a ballot of exclusively individuals who have announced their candidacy, 79% of respondents would support Donald Trump, 18% Nikki Haley, and 4% Vivek Ramaswamy.
“Of those who support DeSantis on the preliminary ballot, 62% support Trump on the declared ballot and 29% support Haley,” Kimball noted.
Despite increased support within the Democratic Party, President Biden trails former President Trump in a hypothetical 2024 Presidential match-up, 42% to 46%; 7% would support someone else and 5% are undecided. This is similar to last month, when he trailed 41% to 44%. Against Governor DeSantis, Biden leads 44% to 40%; 9% would support someone else and 8% are undecided. Similarly, against Nikki Haley, the President leads 40% to 37%; while 12% would support someone else and 11% are undecided.
The 2024 generic congressional ballot shows that 45% of voters plan to support the Republican candidate, while 43% plan to support the Democratic candidate, with 13% still undecided. When asked about the Biden administration’s handling of the Chinese spy balloon and three unidentified flying objects, 44% of voters believe the administration is not taking enough action, 35% think they are taking the right amount of action, and 8% think they are taking too much action, with 12% having no opinion or being unsure.
Kimball said, “There is a stark partisan divide on the view of US aid to Ukraine: 50% of Democrats say the US is giving the right amount of aid, whereas 46% of Republicans say the US is giving too much aid.”
“35%, think the United States has done the right amount to aid Ukraine, while 31% think the US has given too much aid, and 21% think it has given too little aid.”