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Trump Surges In Another Poll As DeSantis Sees Lowest Support Since December

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Former President Donald Trump has surged to his largest lead in the 2024 GOP primary race. The latest survey shows Trump with a 54% to 26% advantage over Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL), marking a sizable 28-point gap. We could be seeing a “rally around” effect due to the potential indictment.

If the primary or caucus were held today, more than half of potential Republican primary voters (54%) would support Trump, while only 26% would back DeSantis, according to a recent survey. DeSantis is the second choice of 46% of those who are supporting Trump, while 43% of DeSantis’ supporters view Trump as their backup option. The survey also found that a larger percentage of Trump supporters (17%) were unsure of their second choice, compared to DeSantis’ supporters (5%).

“Former President Donald Trump began his presidential campaign with the bulk of the Republican electorate behind him, but his grip is being put to the test ahead of the 2024 nominating contests. Morning Consult surveys are tracking the Republican primary electorate’s views of Trump and other declared or potential candidates, as well as how he fares with the wider electorate — a key metric for a party looking to turn the tide on recent electoral disappointments.”

In a hypothetical head-to-head match-up, Biden is shown to have a 3-point lead over Trump and a 2-point lead over DeSantis. Notably, DeSantis has not had an advantage over Biden since the beginning of the month, which contrasts with previous surveys conducted since December. These numbers are crucial in testing electability, a vital issue in party primaries, particularly this time around due to concerns about Trump’s baggage and whether the GOP should focus on maintaining Trump’s coalition or expanding its base.