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Trump’s Approval Rating Surges To Astonishing High Among Key Demographic, Poll Finds

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4 months ago

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A new poll from Quantus Insights found President Donald Trump’s approval rating hovering around an even distribution between approval and disapproval, a trend that has held since April. While the president’s overall job approval appears to be holding firm, the latest survey measured a stunningly high approval rating among black male voters.

Just five years after 87 percent of black male voters broke for President Joe Biden, 49 percent of respondents to the latest Quantus Insights survey expressed a positive opinion of the president’s job performance. Among black voters overall, 39 percent of respondents expressed a positive view, continuing with a trend that was observed throughout the 2024 campaign cycle.

“The real headline, though, is Black voters: Trump posts 39% approval overall, with 49% of Black men backing him, a historic high for a Republican. It’s not a realignment yet, but it’s no longer an outlier. The once-solid bloc is showing its first visible fractures,” Quantus Insights lead pollster Jason Corley wrote in his analysis of the poll.

In terms of area type, 50 percent of urban voters expressed a positive opinion of President Trump, leaving him two points in the green among the demographic. Trump remained underwater in the suburbs, but only slightly, with 45 percent of suburban respondents expressing approval compared with 52 percent who said the opposite.

Surprisingly, Trump’s favorability rating among rural voters was about even, though Corley cautioned that rural voters are notoriously under-polled.

The gender trend has largely been observed across all reputable pollsters. 56 percent of white male respondents back the president, while 57 percent of men between the ages of 18 and 29 expressed a positive view, giving Trump a +17 advantage among another demographic that broke sharply for Joe Biden in 2020.

The opposite was true with women in the same age bracket, as just 38 percent of respondents indicated a positive view of Trump, placing him under water by 20 percentage points among the demographic.

“Trump’s support is male-heavy, younger than expected, and hardening along gender lines. The idea that “young voters oppose Trump” is outdated. True for women, increasingly false for men,” Corley wrote.

Among independents, Trump is underwater by an identical margin, another trend that has largely been observed across pollsters. Quantus Insights also measured a divide among education level, as 53 percent of white respondents who do not hold a college degree expressing a positive opinion compared to 44 percent expressing disapproval, good for a +9 net favorability rating.

As for white respondents who hold a college degree, 46 percent expressed approval while 53 percent said the opposite, leaving the president seven points underwater.

 

“This poll doesn’t show a collapsing presidency, but it does show a stalled one. Trump’s coalition is intact but boxed in, highly resilient among working-class whites and men, but struggling with women, young women, and independents,” Corley said in his overall analysis of the results.

“The message here is not one of doom for Republicans. It’s one of discipline and strategy. The numbers demand a campaign that targets the persuadable and neutralizes the damage among college-educated and suburban women. That is where the 2026 battle will be won — or lost.”

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