WATCH: CNN’s Top Data Analyst Hints At ‘Blowout’ Election Brewing

With Election Day just 11 days away on November 5, CNN’s senior data analyst Harry Enten offered a surprising perspective on what seems to be one of the closest presidential races in history. Enten discussed an intriguing possibility: a potential Electoral College blowout despite the race appearing razor-thin in national polling.

Despite the narrative of a tight race, Enten sees a 60% chance that one candidate will surpass 300 electoral votes, indicating a potential landslide victory. “We have been talking about the idea that there’s going to be a historically close election. I think I might have said it on this particular program, but in fact, will the winner get at least 300 electoral votes? The answer is majority yes,” Enten said.

The analysis points to polling averages across key swing states, which, while showing margins under two points, suggest the possibility of a decisive Electoral College outcome due to historical polling errors. “So for all the talk that we’ve had about this election being historically close, which it is, chances are the winner will still actually score a relative blowout in the Electoral College,” Enten explained.

The data points to a scenario where, if polling errors lean heavily in one direction, it could swing the entire election map. Polling errors in swing states have averaged 3.4 points since 1972, a factor Enten believes could lead to a surprising outcome. He explained, “If all of the battleground states go in one direction, you can end up with a map like this for Kamala Harris, where she wins all the key Great Lake battleground states, wins North Carolina, wins Georgia, wins Arizona, wins Nevada, and she gets to 319. That’s even better than Biden did.”

WATCH:

Enten also laid out a scenario favoring Trump: “Of course, it could go in the other direction, whereby Trump wins all the key Great Lake Battleground states, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada, and he gets to 312 electoral votes. And that’s even better than Trump did in 2016!”

While the mainstream media has often portrayed this election as neck-and-neck, Enten’s breakdown offers a different perspective, especially for Trump supporters who have seen similar polling errors in the past work in their favor. Trump’s surprising victory in 2016 was fueled by underestimated support in swing states, and Enten noted that history could repeat itself: “In 2016, 83% of the swing state polls and averages underestimated Donald Trump.”

“History tells us that it is more likely than not that all of the swing state polling errors would move in one direction.” The historical trend suggests that polling errors could play a significant role in shaping this year’s outcome, potentially favoring Trump if the errors align similarly to past elections.

As the final days of campaigning continue, both candidates are ramping up efforts in key states, knowing that a late shift in momentum could mean the difference between a narrow win or a blowout. “Don’t be surprised if the swing state polls, when they underestimate one candidate, they underestimate all of them in the states,” Enten concluded.

(FOCUS GROUP: Do You Blame KAMALA or TRUMP for record inflation?)