WATCH: New Data Shows Kamala Harris Falling Behind With Critical Demographic

In a new CNN poll, Vice President Kamala Harris is facing a significant decline in support among Hispanic voters in key battleground states. The poll, which surveyed voters in Nevada and Arizona, shows that the vice president’s advantage over former President Donald Trump has dramatically shrunk compared to Joe Biden’s 2020 performance with the same demographic. This signals potential trouble for Democrats in the upcoming 2024 election.

In Arizona, Biden held a commanding 24-point lead over Trump among Hispanic voters in the 2020 election, according to CNN’s exit polls. However, Harris’s support has dropped to an 18-point lead in 2024, showing a six-point decline. While the numbers may still favor Harris, the drop in support is notable, considering how crucial Arizona’s Hispanic voters were to Biden’s victory four years ago.

Arizona has been a critical swing state in recent elections, with Latino voters playing a decisive role in determining its outcome. The numbers in Nevada are even more alarming for Harris and the Democratic Party. In 2020, Biden won Nevada’s Hispanic vote by 26 percentage points, according to exit polls.

WATCH:

This year, however, Harris leads by just one point—a massive 25-point drop. If this trend holds, it could be a significant blow to the Democrats’ chances in Nevada, a state where Latino voters have traditionally been a reliable base. Nevada’s razor-thin margin is a serious “warning sign” for Harris’s campaign.

In a state that Biden narrowly won by two points in 2020, such a drastic loss of support among Hispanic voters could tip the scales in Trump’s favor. Hispanic voters account for roughly 20% of Nevada’s electorate, making their support crucial to winning the state. The decline in Harris’s support among Hispanic voters suggests broader challenges for her campaign, as she seeks to maintain the coalition that propelled Biden to victory in 2020.

Both Arizona and Nevada are often closely contested, making them essential battlegrounds in presidential races. These states are not solidly Democratic or Republican, meaning that their electoral votes are up for grabs, and winning them can be pivotal for securing the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.

In recent elections, Arizona and Nevada have been decided by narrow margins. For instance, Biden won Arizona by just 0.3% and Nevada by 2.4% in 2020. Such slim margins mean that a small shift in voter turnout or allegiance, particularly among Hispanics, could swing the outcome of the entire race.

The latest swing state polling paints a striking picture of the current landscape. Trump holds a lead in six of the seven states polled, many of which were key to Joe Biden’s 2020 victory. In Arizona, Trump is up by 3.5 points, marking a shift in a state that Biden narrowly won last time. In Georgia, another state that flipped blue in 2020, Trump is ahead by 3.4 points according to Atlas Intel.

If the trend seen in many polls is not reversed, Harris could face an uphill battle in securing Latino voters, which are often described as the Democratic Party’s sleeping giant.

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