WATCH: MSNBC Polling Expert Gives Democrats Sobering News About Kamala

On MSNBC Monday, Steve Kornacki, the network’s national political correspondent, gave a breakdown of Vice President Kamala Harris’s polling performance as she steps into the spotlight following President Joe Biden’s decision not to seek reelection.

Speaking with Rachel Maddow, Kornacki painted a picture of an uphill battle for Harris, comparing her to both Biden and their mutual potential competitor, Donald Trump. Kornacki noted that unlike in 2020, when Biden consistently led Trump in polls, the tables have turned with Trump now leading in recent averages.

“The same polls that produce this average since the debate in the Biden-Trump race, what do they show when Harris is substituted in?” Kornacki asked. “A difference, but it’s a difference of a point. Biden at 45, Harris in these same polls, an average 46%. Trump 47% in both of them.”

“Joe Biden, this is the average when you ask that question. Do you have a favorable, unfavorable view? Biden, 36, 57, been seeing numbers like this for a long time with him. Obviously, these are very perilous numbers. What are they for Kamala Harris? Average from the same set of polls… 57 comes down to 52,” he explained.

WATCH:

As Harris gears up for the official launch of her campaign, the Democrat Party faces the challenge of quickly consolidating support around her. On Sunday Joe Biden said he will not only finish his term but also address the nation later this week amid swirling speculation about the Democratic nomination for the presidential race.

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Following Biden’s withdrawal and his subsequent endorsement, a surge of optimism has reportedly spread among House Democrats. They believe Harris could revitalize a campaign that, until now, was heavily tilting in favor of former President Trump. As the Democratic National Convention, slated for August 19-22 in Chicago, Illinois, approaches, the party appears to be attempting to rally. The number of Democratic leaders endorsing Harris has also been rapidly increasing. While it remains to be seen whether Harris will secure the nomination outright, the growing endorsements from delegations are a clear sign of momentum. Biden’s endorsement has evidently catalyzed the party, positioning Harris as a key figure capable of carrying the Democratic banner into the next election.

According to recent polling data from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, Trump, who just last week formally accepted the Republican nomination, still holds an edge over Harris. In a national aggregate of polls, Trump garners 47% support compared to Harris’s 45%. The margin mirrors Trump’s lead over Biden before he exited the race—Trump led by approximately 2.5 points, capturing 46% to Biden’s 43.5%.

On Monday morning Trump wrote about the developing situation on Truth Social: “The Democrats pick a candidate, Crooked Joe Biden, he loses the Debate badly, then panics, and makes mistake after mistake, is told he can’t win, and decide they will pick another candidate, probably Harris. They stole the race from Biden after he won it in the primaries — A First! These people are the real THREAT TO DEMOCRACY!”

The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether the Democrats can unify behind Harris and craft a campaign capable of capturing the White House.

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