A Fox News poll released Wednesday shows that former President Donald J. Trump would not only defeat President Joe Biden if the election were held today, but he would also wipe the floor with nearly the entire Democrat bench in hypothetical matchups.
Based on this poll, there appears to be effectively no path to a Democrat victory in 2024.
The Fox News poll conducted between November 10-13, interviewed 1,001 registered voters and has a margin of error of +/- 3 points.
As reported by The New York Post, the survey shows Trump leading Biden by a four-point margin of 50%-46%. Startlingly for Democrats seeking a Biden alternative, the result was just as bad, if not worse, with other probable matchups.
- Against Vice President Kamala Harris, Trump leads 50% to 45%
- Against California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Trump leads 49% to 45%
- Against Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Trump leads 48% to 46%
- Against retiring Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), Trump leads by the narrowest margin: 47% to 46%
Whitmer and Manchin are the only two candidates who fall within the margin of error but are conversely two of the least popular amongst Democrats, and therefore likely to draw moderate independents and potentially some Republicans. However, both would likely hemorrhage support from the radical-left Democrat base.
In answer to recent news developments, the poll also considered the potential third-party candidacies of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Manchin, Professor Cornel West, and Green Party Candidate Jill Stein. The result is undeniably devastating for Biden with voter erosion costing him far more.
Republican Donald Trump 41%
Democrat Joe Biden 35%
Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. 15%
Third-party candidate Cornel West 3%
Green Party candidate Jill Stein 3%
🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL: Fox News (A-)
(R) Trump 50% (+4)
(D) Biden 46%
(R) Trump 41% (+6)
(D) Biden 35%
(I) RFK Jr. 15%
(I) West 3%
(G) Stein 3%
(R) Trump 40% (+5)
(D) Biden 35%
(I) RFK Jr. 13%
(I) Manchin 5%
(G) Stein 4%
Trump 62% (+48)
Haley 11% pic.twitter.com/rntVLV6myw
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 15, 2023
The poll was similarly dismal for Trump’s Republican Primary challengers as it found the former President commanding a near-insurmountable 49-point advantage over runner-up Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis with Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley trailing in third. Only DeSantis and Haley have been able to crack the double digits with 13% and 10% respectively.
The Fox survey did find though that in the unlikely event Trump was to withdraw, be disqualified, or be defeated by either of them, both candidates would readily defeat Biden. DeSantis polled above Biden 50% to 45%, while Haley leads him 52% to 41%.
Trump shared the Fox News poll results via Truth Social, highlighting his one-on-one defeat against Joe Biden and his dominance of the primary, but perhaps undersold the profound rebuke of the 80-year-old incumbent President that the survey presents.
Following a similarly rough Nov. 9th poll, Biden was challenged by Fox News White House reporter Peter Doocy as reported by Trending Politics, snapping at him to “read the polls.” He claimed that Doocy only read CNN and New York Times polling and yelled at him, “Check it out!”