Politics

JUST IN: Final NYC Poll Shows Mamdani In Serious Danger

Published

1 month ago

November 3, 2025

jake

Independent mayoral hopeful Andrew Cuomo is suddenly surging — and even topping socialist Democrat Zohran Mamdani in a one-on-one matchup — according to a stunning new poll released on the eve of Election Day.

The AtlasIntel survey, published Monday afternoon, puts Mamdani at 43.9% and Cuomo nipping at his heels with 39.4%. GOP contender Curtis Sliwa trails at 15.5%, while just over 1% of voters say they’re undecided or staying home.

It’s a dramatic shift from the same pollster just a day earlier, when Mamdani held a six-point edge.

The survey of a little more than 2,400 voters was conducted between Friday and Sunday and carries a 2-point margin of error.

AtlasIntel Poll

In a hypothetical head-to-head contest, Cuomo actually beats Mamdani 49.7% to 44.1% — a potential warning sign for Democrats who thought the former governor’s political career was toast.

However, the poll’s voter mix doesn’t match the electorate that has already shown up to cast their ballots. Early ballots so far show Democrats making up just over 73% of voters, compared to roughly 11% GOP and under 15% independents.

AtlasIntel’s sample is made up of 59% Democrats, 19% Republicans, and nearly 22% independents.

Still, less than 24 hours before polls close, the numbers suggest Mamdani’s radical campaign isn’t exactly inspiring confidence, and Cuomo isn’t nearly as out of the game as his critics hoped.