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JUST IN: Gallup Poll Shows Trump Surging Ahead Of Kamala In Key Metric

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3 months ago

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Pollsters are continuing to produce results suggesting Vice President Kamala Harris has hit a ceiling among voters who have grown tired of the vague promises and simple sales pitch that she is the best candidate simply because she isn’t President Joe Biden.

Gallup said as much, releasing new numbers on Wednesday showing that the number of Americans with unfavorable opinions of Harris continues to climb, and at the same time showing that former President Donald Trump is starting to look better with each passing day. Although both candidates are viewed unfavorably by a majority, Harris has lost 5% in the metric. Trump, in a mirror gain, picked up 5%. The survey of 1,000 likely voters carries a +/- margin of error of 2.5%, meaning the changes are statistically significant.

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Even more pronounced was the vice president’s stunning loss of one in four independent voters, or a drop of 25% in favorability in a single month. Just 35% of voters unaligned with any party now hold a favorable opinion of Harris compared to 44% preferring Trump. The sea change comes less than a month after Harris was officially nominated by the Democratic Party, ending weeks of a “honeymoon” period that prognosticators wondered would cement a permanent bump in the polls. That turned out to be wishful thinking by her supporters.

Despite outraising and outspending President Trump, Harris has found herself mired in dogfights in key battleground states. Earlier this week, the former president posted a small lead in Pennsylvania, which observers say may determine the election, and late last month posted a 1% lead in Wisconsin, a state President Biden won four years ago. Even when Harris posts a lead, as she has in traditionally blue Virginia, it is within the margin of error. Nate Silver, the legendary election forecaster, last month gave Trump a 53.1% chance of victory, compared to Harris’s 46.6%. In September, Silver has given Trump anywhere from a 55% to 62% chance of winning.

After weeks of largely dodging the press, Vice President Harris has promised greater engagement, but on her own terms. She started with an hourlong sit-down with four members of the National Association of Black Journalists who queried her on topics from abortion to guns and the war in Gaza, Politico reported. The meeting was the first since Harris and running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, sat with CNN’s Dana Bash for a joint interview that was largely panned as overly scripted. Bash herself was criticized by conservative media figures for leading Harris on with suggestions as to how she might answer some of the questions, such as whether she was right to avoid taking questions in the weeks after launching her campaign.

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President Trump, rather than dodging questions, has been dodging bullets, surviving a second assassination attempt by a man who authorities say may have been lying in wait outside his Florida golf course for as many as 12 hours. Trump said he and Harris spoke briefly after the incident on Sunday, a conversation which he described as a “nice call.”

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