Politics
NEW POLL: Trump Dominates DeSantis In Florida, Holds 20-Point Advantage
Florida Republicans continue to show dominating support for former U.S. President Donald Trump, despite Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’s official presidential bid, according to a new poll conducted by the Florida Atlantic University Mainstreet PolCom Lab.
The poll revealed that Trump maintains a significant 20 percent lead over DeSantis among statewide GOP primary voters, with 50 percent of Republican voters supporting Trump compared to DeSantis’s 30 percent.
“The poll highlights Donald Trump’s quite durable support. He does especially well with white working-class voters, who have consistently formed a steadfast base for the former president,” said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., professor of political science at FAU.
Interestingly, the poll also shows that one in five Republicans perceive supporting a candidate other than Trump in the primaries as disloyal, which could pose a challenging environment for any contender seeking to challenge Trump’s dominance.
However, the poll also unveils a promising trend for DeSantis. The gap between Trump and DeSantis in Florida has narrowed by 7 percent since the PolCom Lab’s April poll results, indicating that the race has the potential to tighten as the election gets closer.
FLORIDA 2024: Trump holds 20-point lead for Republican Nomination
Trump — 50% (+20)
DeSantis — 30%
Ramaswamy — 4%
Scott — 3%
Christie — 2%
Hutchinson — 2%
Pence — 2%
Haley — 1%2-Way
Trump — 54% (+17)
DeSantis — 37%FAU | June 27-July 1 | n=315 LV https://t.co/Kr7vkXtIqK
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 10, 2023
🇺🇲 2024 General Election – Florida
(R) Trump: 49% (+10)
(D) Biden: 39%
.
(R) DeSantis: 49% (+13)
(D) Biden: 36%FAU | June 27-July 1 | n=933 LV https://t.co/6zB9bm2eGb pic.twitter.com/h5ZXVkccO0
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 10, 2023
Furthermore, the poll shows that DeSantis would defeat Biden by 13 percent (49 percent vs. 36 percent) among Floridians, which is larger than the 10 percent edge Trump has over the president. The survey also found that 54 percent of Floridians “strongly” or “somewhat” approve of the job DeSantis is doing as governor.
“These poll results could be an important motivator for DeSantis to promote his bid for the Republican primary, as he may be a stronger candidate against the incumbent,” said Dukhong Kim, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at FAU.
While Trump and DeSantis lead the political fight for the presidency among GOP voters, other names hold limited traction. Notable figures such as former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former U.S. Vice President Mike Pence are each garnering a mere 2 percent of support.
However, candidates Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy have drawn some interest, with 2.5 percent and 3.6 percent respectively. The poll shows Black and Hispanic voters having a more significant interest in minority GOP candidates.
The poll, conducted from June 27 to July 1, included a sample of 933 Florida voters.