A new Morning Consult poll that surveyed roughly 6,000 registered voters contained great news for the former president, Donald Trump, and terrible news for the incumbent president, Joe Biden. If the election were held today, Mr. Trump, the leading Republican candidate, would garner 44 percent of the vote compared to Joe Biden who would secure merely 41 percent of the vote. This would place Trump’s lead outside the poll’s margin of error rate. 10 percent of the electorate surveyed said they would vote for a third party and 5 percent admitted that they were unsure who they would cast their vote for.
Trump would perform better against Biden than Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) in the poll; according to the data, DeSantis trails Biden by two points. The poll was conducted from June 23-35, 2023
This poll comes amid the shadow of a previous Harvard-Harris survey that showed much the same news of a Trump lead. As previously covered by Trending Politics News, that survey displayed that Trump’s federal indictment had failed to damage him. “[A] majority of respondents said the Trump indictment is politically motivated and amounts to election interference. A total of 55 percent of respondents believe the indictment is politically motivated while a slightly higher number said it amounts to election interference at 56 percent” wrote Trending Politics News.
The pollster John McLaughlin was interviewed by Just the News and he remarked that polling data showed “there’s real momentum to win the general election over Joe Biden” and that the public was suffering from “buyer’s remorse.” He added that “And so you’ve got Trump up…You know, he’s up six points in the Harvard Harris poll. … You have a tie in the Yahoo News poll. .., ABC Washington Post had Trump ahead. And the Rasmussen Reports. That is the only one on the Real Clear Politics average that does likely voters. They have Trump ahead of Biden 45-39.”
As observed by the online account Interactive Polls on Twitter, the aforementioned Morning Consult poll displayed a rise in public support for Mr. Trump. “[There is a] [n]et 4-point swing towards Trump from last week and Trump’s largest advantage since tracking began in December.”
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential Election Poll
(R) Trump 44% (+3)
(D) Biden 41%
(D) Biden 42% (+2)
(R) DeSantis 40%
Net 4-point swing towards Trump from last week and Trump's largest advantage since tracking began in December
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 27, 2023
Should Mr. Trump prevail over Biden in 2024, he will be the first president since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to serve non-consecutive terms in the White House. Should Mr. Trump prevail with a majority or plurality of the vote over Biden, he will be the first Republican since George W. Bush in 2004 to win with a majority of the vote over the Democratic presidential nominee.