One of the nation’s most prominent political pollsters believes that the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision to kick former President Donald Trump off the 2024 ballot will only improve his already grand standing among voters.
Frank Luntz, a Republican pollster, told CNN that all signs point to President Trump’s poll numbers increasing following the historic decision by the state court to keep Trump off the ballot under an insurrectionist clause in the 14th Amendment of the Constitution. Just like his multiple criminal trials, President Trump will receive more sympathy from voters who feel the justice system is being weaponized against his campaign for the White House, Luntz predicted.
“It’s going to be exactly what the indictments did. It’s going to be exactly what the criticisms have done. Donald Trump thrives on negativity. He thrives on legal systems that try to hold him accountable, and I’m convinced that his polling numbers are going to go up,” Luntz said, pointing to a recent New York Times poll that showed Trump leading Biden in six swing states beyond the margin of error.
“Trump is gaining. The more that he is prosecuted, the more that he is condemned, the higher his numbers go. People rally around him, and I would say to the judges, as I said to the Justice Department: you’re actually making it more likely that Donald Trump is elected next November by how you are pursuing this.”
Asked by the host whether alleged lawbreaking actually mattered to the president’s supporters, Luntz replied that President Trump’s strategy just has to win over a small percentage of voters who might otherwise sit out next year’s election.
“Make no mistake, there [are] very few undecided voters right now. There are very few people who are going back and forth between Trump and Biden. It’s more about those people trying to decide whether or not to vote,” said Luntz.
“He is the best victim politician I have ever seen in my 35 years in doing this, and this is exactly what he would have wanted in the run-up to the Iowa caucus.”
The development is almost certain to blunt Nikki Haley’s steady rise in the polls and she struggles for air beneath a wave of wall-to-wall coverage about Trump just a month before the Iowa caucus. The former president commands more than 50% support among Iowa GOP voters, leaving Haley and Ron DeSantis to battle it out for second place.